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Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.The wide currency and weak credit logic may continue, and the upward direction of the market volatility will not change. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) is gaining momentum. On December 11, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) closed down by 0.25%, with a turnover of 75,892,100 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Midea Group led the rise, and Changjiang Power followed suit. In terms of decline, China Ping An led the decline, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited followed. In the news, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, the power battery giant, once again announced that it will build a power battery factory overseas, which will also become the company's third battery factory in Europe. Bank of China Securities said that the important meeting at the end of the year is about to land, and the market may face fluctuations caused by the expected landing of policies in the short term, but the tone of monetary policy will not change. The logic of "wide money+weak credit" will continue in the short term. Under the expectation of loose monetary policy, the upward direction of market volatility will not change. According to industry insiders, looking forward to 2025, the allocation of A-share industry can be developed around three main lines: first, the direction of domestic macro-circulation, attaching importance to "duality and innovation", "debt conversion" and new growth points in the consumption field; Second, science and technology are self-reliant: pay attention to artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, aerospace information technology and data elements; The third is to open wider to the outside world: pay attention to cross-border e-commerce, digital trade, tax exemption and inbound tourism. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Ding Xiaoqiang was appointed as a member, standing committee member and secretary of Changzhi Municipal Committee. According to the news of Changzhi News VideoNo. on December 11th, Changzhi held a meeting of leading cadres in the whole city. The meeting announced the decision of the provincial party committee, and Comrade Ding Xiaoqiang was appointed as a member, standing committee member and secretary of Changzhi Municipal Committee.

The United States offered a reward of 10 million dollars to collect information on China men who invaded the computer firewall fraud. The Foreign Ministry responded, and Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning held a regular press conference. AFP reporter asked, the United States said yesterday that it would offer a reward of $10 million to collect information about a China man who was wanted for hacking into a computer firewall to commit fraud. The US Treasury Department said it had imposed sanctions on the man's company. What is the comment of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs? Mao Ning said: First of all, China has always resolutely opposed and cracked down on various forms of cyber attacks in accordance with the law. At the same time, we resolutely opposed the indiscriminate imposition of illegal unilateral sanctions and long-arm jurisdiction on Chinese entities and individuals. "We urge the U.S. to stop using cyber security issues to smear and discredit China and to stop abusing illegal unilateral sanctions. China will take necessary measures to safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of China enterprises and citizens. "Nearly 20,000 people were evacuated due to the spread of mountain fires in southern California. A mountain fire broke out in Malibu, Los Angeles County, southern California on the evening of the 9th, and the fire spread rapidly. As of the evening of the 10th, the fire area has exceeded 1,100 hectares, nearly 20,000 people have been evacuated, and some buildings have been damaged by the fire. At present, no casualties have been reported.Sichuan Bank successfully issued 5.4 billion tier-2 capital bonds for the first time, with a subscription multiple of 6.6 times. Sichuan Bank completed its first capital bond issuance on December 10th. According to the information released by China Foreign Exchange Trading Center, the scale of Tier 2 capital bonds issued by Sichuan Bank this time is 5.4 billion yuan, and the subscription multiple is as high as 6.6 times, while that of coupon rate is 2.20%, with a term of 5+5 years. This bond attracted more than 100 institutional investors including banks, brokers, funds, trusts and wealth management subsidiaries to participate in the subscription, with a cumulative investment of more than 35 billion yuan.

European bond market: The market remained stable before the US inflation data was released, waiting for the ECB meeting on Thursday. On Wednesday, the European bond market remained stable, waiting for the US consumer price index (CPI) data later that day and the ECB meeting on Thursday. The yield of German 10-year government bonds did not change much, at 2.12%. Traders are waiting for the US CPI inflation data released at 21: 30 Beijing time on Wednesday, which may affect the market expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates next week. The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds also remained basically unchanged at 3.20%, and the spread between Italian government bonds and German government bonds remained at 108 basis points. The market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. The yield of German two-year government bonds is sensitive to the interest rate expectations of the European Central Bank, falling by 1 basis point to 1.96%.Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement, and Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Shenzhen. According to the agreement, Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei will adhere to the principle of "complementary advantages, mutual benefit and win-win, long-term cooperation and common development" and explore innovative cooperation paths around intelligent optical storage, low-carbon artificial intelligence intelligent calculation, digital construction and application of comprehensive smart energy. In the development of large-scale photovoltaic and energy storage projects, the two sides will build a national-level "photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance" demonstration benchmark and explore a grid-type energy storage application model project. By establishing a long-term and stable all-round cooperative relationship, we will deepen cooperation and exchanges and promote the high-quality development of the industry. (Tianyuan Environmental Protection)Market News: The Ukrainian military said that the attack on the Russian oil depot triggered a "fire".